No Expectations/Standards Selected

##### CCSS Alignment By Grade

##### CCSS Alignment By Standard

## Making Predictions With Scatter Plots in the Real World

This Real World 3 Act Math Task will have students **making predictions** via **interpolation** and **extrapolation** using **scatter plots** and a **line of best fit**.

## Related Math Topics:

Data management of two-variables including:

- making predictions between two-variables,
- creating scatter plots,
- classifying correlations as positive/negative and strong/weak, and
- interpolating and extrapolating using a line of best fit.

This task can be extended to **linear relations** and **equations** by having students determine an equation of the line of best fit or alternatively, non-linear regression to find an equation of a curve of best fit.

If you haven’t already, I recommend using the Candle Burning 3 Act Math Task prior to using this task, as the data appears to have a stronger linear correlation.

## Act 1: Introducing the Problem

Show students Act 1:

After showing the video clip, I have students discuss with their group some questions that come to mind. Sometimes, I have students focus on two types of questions:

- The first question that comes to mind; and,
- a unique question you don’t think someone will come up with.

This tends to differentiate the question responses rather than seeing a ton of the most obvious one. We discuss these options, then settle on our first question:

How long will it take to empty the pool?

Then, we move on to Act 2.

## Act 2: Reveal Some Useful Information

I personally don’t ask too many questions about what information they want, as most tend to know where this problem is heading.

Show them Act 2:

Although I try to avoid fading out my videos to ensure the information doesn’t go away, here’s a screenshot of the last frame, for your use:

Feel free to save the image.

At this point, students can head off on their merry way. I find most of my students tend to go straight for a scatter plot and extend a line of best fit, while others might choose to try to leverage the initial value/y-intercept and estimate a rate of change/slope to create an equation. At midterm and beyond, I’m hoping that the second option becomes more attractive to my students since we have been working with linear equations quite a bit. If no students head in that direction, I would introduce it during the consolidation of the problem as a potential strategy for future use.

If you’re beyond students drawing scatter plots and want to do something more advanced with this problem, consider using Desmos as a way to manipulate and interpret data.

Click the image below to grab a shared Desmos graph with all the data points plotted from a table of values with regression line/curves:

## Act 3: See The Answer!

Once students have updated their prediction based on their mathematical thinking, we can show students Act 3 so they can cheer (or cry) based on what really happened:

Here’s a screenshot of the last frame, if you’d like to use it for some of your consolidation:

Feel free to download the Act 3 image.

## Sequels / Extensions

- What do you predict the depth of the pool would be after 17 hours of draining? (interpolation)
- What would be a reasonable drain rate for this pool assuming the trend is linear?
- What would be a reasonable equation for a line (or curve) of best fit?

Please comment to let me know how it worked in your classroom!

## Download The Task and Resources

Grab all the videos, images and resources by clicking download below:

Download

## Share With Your Tribe:

## About Kyle Pearce

I’m Kyle Pearce and I am a former high school math teacher. I’m now the K-12 Mathematics Consultant with the Greater Essex County District School Board, where I uncover creative ways to spark curiosity and fuel sense making in mathematics. Read more.

Access Other Real World Math Tasks

## Search More 3 Act Math Tasks

Grade 2 [Number Sense and Numeration - NS1, Number Sense and Numeration - NS2, Number Sense and Numeration - NS3]

Grade 3 [Number Sense and Numeration - NS1, Number Sense and Numeration - NS3]

Grade 4 [Number Sense and Numeration - NS1, Number Sense and Numeration - NS3, Patterning and Algebra - PA2]

Grade 5 [Number Sense and Numeration - NS1, Number Sense and Numeration - NS3, Patterning and Algebra - PA2]

Grade 6 [Data Management and Probability - DP3, Measurement - M2, Number Sense and Numeration - NS1, Number Sense and Numeration - NS2, Number Sense and Numeration - NS3, Patterning and Algebra - PA1, Patterning and Algebra - PA2]

Grade 7 [Data Management and Probability - DP3, Geometry and Spatial Sense - GS1, Measurement - M2, Number Sense and Numeration - NS1, Number Sense and Numeration - NS2, Number Sense and Numeration - NS3, Patterning and Algebra - PA1, Patterning and Algebra - PA2]

Grade 8 [Data Management and Probability - DP1, Data Management and Probability - DP3, Geometry and Spatial Sense - GS2, Measurement - M2, Number Sense and Numeration - NS1, Number Sense and Numeration - NS2, Number Sense and Numeration - NS3, Patterning and Algebra - PA1, Patterning and Algebra - PA2]

MAP4C [Mathematical Models - MM2, Mathematical Models - MM3]

MAT1LMAT2LMBF3C [Data Management - DM1, Data Management - DM2, Geometry and Trigonometry - GT1, Geometry and Trigonometry - GT2, Mathematical Models - MM1, Mathematical Models - MM2, Mathematical Models - MM3]

MCF3M [Exponential Functions - EF2, Quadratic Functions - QF1, Quadratic Functions - QF2, Quadratic Functions - QF3, Trigonometric Functions - TF1, Trigonometric Functions - TF3]

MCR3U [Characteristics of Functions - CF1, Characteristics of Functions - CF2, Exponential Functions - EF2, Exponential Functions - EF3, Trigonometric Functions - TF3]

MCT4C [Exponential Functions - EF1, Trigonometric Functions - TF3]

MDM4U [Counting and Probability - CP2, Organization of Data For Analysis - DA2, Probability Distributions - PD1, Statistical Analysis - SA1, Statistical Analysis - SA2]

MEL4EMFM1P [Linear Relations - LR1, Linear Relations - LR2, Linear Relations - LR3, Linear Relations - LR4, Measurement and Geometry - MG2, Measurement and Geometry - MG3, Number Sense and Algebra - NA1, Number Sense and Algebra - NA2]

MFM2P [Measurement and Trigonometry - MT1, Measurement and Trigonometry - MT2, Measurement and Trigonometry - MT3, Modelling Linear Relations - LR1, Modelling Linear Relations - LR2, Modelling Linear Relations - LR3, Quadratic Relations in y = ax^2 + bx + c Form - QR1, Quadratic Relations in y = ax^2 + bx + c Form - QR3]

MHF4U [Exponential and Logarithmic Functions - EL2, Exponential and Logarithmic Functions - EL3]

MPM1D [AG3, Analytic Geometry - AG1, Analytic Geometry - AG2, LR1, LR2, LR3, MG2, MG3, NA1, Number Sense and Algebra - NA2]

MPM2D [AG1, AG2, AG3, QR2, Quadratic Relations - QR4, T2, T3]

Functions [F-BF.1, F-BF.3, F-IF.4, F-LE.1, F-LE.2, F-LE.3, F-TF.5]

Geometry [G-C.5, G-C.8, G-C.9, G-GMD.3, G-GMD.4, G-GPE.4, G-GPE.5, G-GPE.7, G-MG.1, G-MG.2, G-SRT.11]

Grade 1 [1.NBT.4, 1.OA.1]

Grade 2 [2.NBT.5, 2.OA.2]

Grade 3 [3.NBT.2, 3.NF.1, 3.NF.3, 3.OA.1, 3.OA.5, 3.OA.9]

Grade 4 [4.MD.2, 4.NBT.6, 4.NF.3, 4.OA.1]

Grade 5 [5.MD.1, 5.NBT.6, 5.NF.1, 5.OA.1, 5.OA.2, 5.OA.3]

Grade 6 [6.EE.1, 6.EE.2, 6.G.1, 6.NS.1, 6.RP.2, 6.RP.3]

Grade 7 [7.EE.4, 7.G.3, 7.G.4, 7.G.6, 7.RP.1, 7.RP.3, 7.SP.2, 7.SP.6]

Grade 8 [8.EE.1, 8.EE.5, 8.EE.6, 8.EE.7, 8.EE.8, 8.F.3, 8.F.4, 8.F.5, 8.G.5, 8.G.7, 8.G.9, 8.SP.1]

Practice [MP.1, MP.2, MP.3, MP.4, MP.6, MP.7]

Statistics & Probability [S-ID.6, S-MD.4]